Negative Expectation: Meaning and How It Works in Casinos
Negative expectation is one of the core ideas behind casino economics. It describes a game, bet, or fee structure where the average long-run outcome is a loss for the player and a margin for the operator, even though any single session can still be a winner. If you understand negative expectation, you understand house edge, RTP, sportsbook vig, poker rake, and why casinos can forecast revenue despite short-term swings.